{"id":16284,"date":"2020-05-11T12:30:47","date_gmt":"2020-05-11T12:30:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/?p=16284"},"modified":"2025-02-06T07:48:41","modified_gmt":"2025-02-06T10:48:41","slug":"juro-real-negativo-no-brasil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/juro-real-negativo-no-brasil\/","title":{"rendered":"Juro real negativo no Brasil?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-youtube wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Juro real negativo no Brasil? com Pablo Spyer - O Touro de Ouro\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/Tka1MNgywDs?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><figcaption>Minuto Econ\u00f4mico extraordin\u00e1rio<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Ol\u00e1 galera do Telegram!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vejam s\u00f3 uma <strong>not\u00edcia muito importante<\/strong> que saiu no <a href=\"https:\/\/www.valorpro.com.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Valor Pro<\/a> agora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Um <strong>estudo<\/strong> do Valor Data, um c\u00e1lculo do Valor Data que leva em conta a <strong>proje\u00e7\u00e3o da infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong> e a expectativa de corte de juros na reuni\u00e3o que vem, mostra que o<strong> juro real, no Brasil, cai para a m\u00ednima hist\u00f3rica de -0,25%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>publicidade:<\/strong><br><em>Confira <strong>cota\u00e7\u00e3o do <\/strong><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/cotacao\/cotacao-dolar\"><em><strong>d\u00f3lar<\/strong><\/em><\/a><em>, do <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/cotacao\/cotacao-euro\"><em><strong>euro<\/strong><\/em><\/a><em> e demais moedas mundiais em tempo-real nas p\u00e1ginas de cota\u00e7\u00e3o do <strong>Remessa Online \u2013<\/strong> <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\"><em><strong>Transfer\u00eancias Internacionais<\/strong><\/em><\/a><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c9 claro, que isso <strong>depende do corte da Selic<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>V<strong>amos ver<\/strong> como est\u00e1 a <strong>probabilidade impl\u00edcita<\/strong> de um <strong>corte na Selic<\/strong>, o <strong>CDI estimado<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"427\" height=\"451\" sizes=\"(max-width: 427px) 100vw, 427px\" src=\"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Screenshot-from-2020-05-11-12-09-40.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16286\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Screenshot-from-2020-05-11-12-09-40.png 427w, https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Screenshot-from-2020-05-11-12-09-40-284x300.png 284w\" \/><figcaption>CDI Estimado de 45 no Brasil<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>45<\/strong> significa uma <strong>probabilidade de corte de 90%<\/strong> de chance de um <strong>corte de 50 bips<\/strong> e <strong>10%<\/strong> de chance de um <strong>corte de 25 bips<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c9 preciso<strong> considerar que vai cortar 50<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>Ent\u00e3o, <strong>considerando<\/strong> que <strong>vai cortar 50 bips<\/strong> na reuni\u00e3o que vem do banco central, que vai ser dia 17 de junho, e <strong>levando em conta as proje\u00e7\u00f5es da infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong> que sa\u00edram no boletim focus de hoje cedo, a gente chega na <strong>m\u00ednima hist\u00f3rica de juro real da hist\u00f3ria do Brasil<\/strong>.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Negativo ponto vinte e cinco<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bom, vem no meio de uma turbul\u00eancia ai do coronavirus mas \u00e9 isso ai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eu sou Pablo!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bons neg\u00f3cios!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vai torinho!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Esse c\u00e1lculo \u00e9 do Valor Data.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Considerando 90% de chance de corte de 50 bips na pr\u00f3xima reuni\u00e3o do COPOM e as proje\u00e7\u00f5es da infla\u00e7\u00e3o que sa\u00edram no boletim focus de hoje, a gente chega na m\u00ednima hist\u00f3rica de juro real da hist\u00f3ria do Brasil.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":16287,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[43374,43375],"tags":[33102,32962,46,64,32976,32893,32894],"class_list":["post-16284","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cambio-e-economia","category-indicadores-economicos","tag-cdi-certificado-de-deposito-interbancario","tag-coronavirus","tag-cotacao","tag-dolar","tag-euro","tag-transferencias-internacionais","tag-youtube"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16284","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/31"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16284"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16284\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16287"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16284"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16284"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.remessaonline.com.br\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16284"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}